Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-01 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 58.5%
EDM: 41.5%
Expected Goals
CAR: 2.61
EDM: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | CAR | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CAR at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | CAR 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2025-03-01 | CAR 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2024-10-22 | EDM 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | EDM |
| 2023-12-06 | EDM 6 - 1 CAR | EDM | EDM |
| 2023-11-22 | CAR 6 - 3 EDM | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:08 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 16:29 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:59 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 04:26 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.6 - 2.7