Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 56.5%

EDM: 43.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.35

EDM: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	EDM 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-15	CAR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	CAR
2025-03-01	CAR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	CAR
2024-10-22	EDM 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-12-06	EDM 6 - 1 CAR	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	10	1	0.90
1	EDM	12	1	0.93
2	CAR	16	0	1.15
2	EDM	19	1	1.70
3	CAR	24	5	2.95
3	EDM	15	3	2.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0