Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 50.0%

PHI: 50.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.09

PHI: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs PHI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	WPG 1 - 7 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-16	PHI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-06	PHI 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-01	WPG 1 - 2 PHI	PHI	WPG
2024-02-08	PHI 4 - 1 WPG	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	1	1.06
1	PHI	22	0	1.22
2	WPG	18	1	0.92
2	PHI	18	0	0.81
3	WPG	16	0	1.07
3	PHI	7	0	0.31
4	WPG	3	0	0.25
4	PHI	1	0	0.02
5	WPG	3	0	0.21
5	PHI	2	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2