Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

STL: 60.2%

LAK: 39.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.29

LAK: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	26	25	1	96.2%	2.00	1	1.00
LAK	David Rittich	34	30	4	88.2%	3.42	1	-0.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • STL at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	0	1.01
1	LAK	11	1	0.87
2	STL	11	0	0.71
2	LAK	17	0	0.45
3	STL	18	1	1.70
3	LAK	13	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9