Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 53.4%

CHI: 46.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.83

CHI: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	24	18	6	75.0%	3.13	1	-2.87
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	31	28	3	90.3%	2.87	0	-0.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • ANA at home vs CHI: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	ANA 7 - 1 CHI	ANA	ANA
2025-11-30	CHI 5 - 3 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-10-19	CHI 2 - 1 ANA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-01	ANA 3 - 6 CHI	CHI	ANA
2024-11-19	CHI 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	15	0	0.81
1	CHI	14	0	1.05
2	ANA	18	0	1.17
2	CHI	14	1	1.27
3	ANA	15	0	0.89
3	CHI	11	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0