Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-03-01 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 59.4%
CHI: 40.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.11
CHI: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 49%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • ANA at home vs CHI: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | ANA 7 - 1 CHI | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-30 | CHI 5 - 3 ANA | CHI | ANA |
| 2025-10-19 | CHI 2 - 1 ANA | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-01 | ANA 3 - 6 CHI | CHI | ANA |
| 2024-11-19 | CHI 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | CHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 15 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 1 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 1.05 |
| 2 | ANA | 18 | 0 | 1.17 |
| 2 | CHI | 14 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 3 | ANA | 15 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 3 | CHI | 11 | 0 | 0.81 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8
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