PIT vs TOR - 2025-03-02
2025-03-02 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 5 - 6 TOR
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 51.2%
TOR: 48.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.98
TOR: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 11-4-2 | 0.918 SV% | 2.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:15 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 04:39 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 10:27 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:29 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 13:51 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:08 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:38 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:04 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:59 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 00:10 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 01:00 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
PIT 5 - 6 TOR
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2