Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-02 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CAR: 79.0%

CGY: 21.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.96

CGY: 2.48

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CAR at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CGY 5 - 4 CAR	CGY	CGY
2025-11-30	CAR 1 - 0 CGY	CAR	CAR
2025-03-02	CAR 2 - 1 CGY	CAR	CAR
2024-10-24	CGY 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-03-10	CAR 7 - 2 CGY	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	21	0	1.34
1	CGY	5	0	0.14
2	CAR	12	1	1.26
2	CGY	13	0	0.72
3	CAR	18	0	1.14
3	CGY	14	1	0.95
4	CAR	5	0	0.54
4	CGY	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.0 - 2.5