St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-03-02 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 6 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

DAL: 64.1%

STL: 35.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.60

STL: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DAL at home vs STL: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	DAL 5 - 4 STL	DAL	DAL
2026-01-27	STL 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	STL
2026-01-23	DAL 3 - 2 STL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-18	STL 3 - 1 DAL	STL	STL
2025-03-02	DAL 6 - 3 STL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	2	1.04
1	STL	17	0	0.79
2	DAL	12	1	1.00
2	STL	22	3	1.76
3	DAL	6	3	1.09
3	STL	15	1	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 6 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6