New Jersey Devils at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-03-02 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

VGK: 73.0%

NJD: 27.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.06

NJD: 2.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs NJD: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	VGK 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	VGK
2025-12-05	NJD 0 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-02	VGK 2 - 0 NJD	VGK	VGK
2025-02-06	NJD 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2024-03-17	VGK 3 - 1 NJD	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	VGK	14	1.16
1	NJD	17	0.96
2	VGK	17	1.11
2	NJD	10	0.49
3	VGK	13	0.89
3	NJD	15	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.2