Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-03-04 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 6 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

BOS: 49.7%

NSH: 50.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.16

NSH: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	30	24	6	80.0%	4.08	5	-1.92
NSH	Juuse Saros	21	18	3	85.7%	1.90	2	-1.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	NSH 6 - 3 BOS	NSH	NSH
2026-01-27	BOS 3 - 2 NSH	BOS	NSH
2025-03-04	BOS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH
2024-10-22	NSH 4 - 0 BOS	NSH	NSH
2024-04-02	NSH 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	9	1	0.42
1	NSH	21	3	2.04
2	BOS	12	0	0.73
2	NSH	15	0	0.68
3	BOS	13	1	0.75
3	NSH	10	2	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 6 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0