BUF vs SJS - 2025-03-04
2025-03-04 • KeyBank Center
BUF 2 - 6 SJS
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 68.8%
SJS: 31.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.51
SJS: 3.41
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 16-11-1 | 0.890 SV% | 3.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:01 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 05:13 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:22 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 02:19 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 06:55 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:58 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 12:49 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:01 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
BUF 2 - 6 SJS
Expected: 3.5 - 3.4