Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-03-04 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 62.4%
CAR: 37.6%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.88
CAR: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | DET | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.901 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • DET at home vs CAR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | DET 4 - 3 CAR | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-27 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-04 | DET 5 - 3 CAR | DET | DET |
| 2025-03-14 | CAR 4 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-04 | DET 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:59 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:29 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:05 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7