PHI vs CGY - 2025-03-04
2025-03-04 • Wells Fargo Center
PHI 3 - 6 CGY
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 51.2%
CGY: 48.8%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.11
CGY: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 16-7-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.42 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 14-18-2 | 0.897 SV% | 2.97 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:40 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 08:13 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 09:32 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 09:54 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 17:11 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 17:29 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 16:33 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 10:43 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:59 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
PHI 3 - 6 CGY
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1