Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-03-04 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 59.9%
ANA: 40.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.13
ANA: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | EDM | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.852 | 0.815 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs ANA: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | ANA 6 - 5 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-26 | EDM 7 - 4 ANA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-07 | ANA 3 - 2 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-04 | EDM 2 - 6 ANA | ANA | EDM |
| 2025-01-03 | EDM 3 - 2 ANA | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:05 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 11:57 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 13:37 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 18:26 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 18:38 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:22 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:56 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:44 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7