Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-03-04 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (75% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 75.3%

ANA: 24.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.81

ANA: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • EDM at home vs ANA: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	20	0	1.46
1	ANA	11	1	1.09
2	EDM	14	3	1.28
2	ANA	10	1	0.83
3	EDM	21	0	0.80
3	ANA	12	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.6