Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-03-04 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 52.5%

MIN: 47.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.30

MIN: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	20	16	4	80.0%	2.23	3	-1.77
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	36	33	3	91.7%	4.07	3	1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs MIN: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MIN 5 - 2 SEA	MIN	MIN
2026-01-08	SEA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-08	SEA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA
2025-03-19	MIN 4 - 0 SEA	MIN	MIN
2025-03-04	SEA 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	0	0.67
1	MIN	15	1	0.70
2	SEA	26	3	2.62
2	MIN	13	1	0.71
3	SEA	20	0	0.79
3	MIN	6	1	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0