Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-03-05 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

VAN: 79.4%

ANA: 20.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.40

ANA: 2.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	16	14	2	87.5%	1.62	1	-0.38
ANA	John Gibson	36	33	3	91.7%	3.28	1	0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • VAN at home vs ANA: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	VAN
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	20	0	0.94
1	ANA	10	0	0.55
2	VAN	11	0	0.86
2	ANA	10	0	0.41
3	VAN	15	1	1.48
3	ANA	10	1	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.4