St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-03-05 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 52.8%
STL: 47.2%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.10
STL: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | LAK | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • LAK at home vs STL: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | LAK 2 - 1 STL | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-01-24 | STL 4 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-10-21 | STL 1 - 2 LAK | LAK | STL |
| 2025-03-08 | LAK 2 - 1 STL | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-05 | LAK 2 - 3 STL | STL | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:50 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:22 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 10:14 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 19:13 | LAK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | LAK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | LAK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 2.6
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