Utah Hockey Club at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-03-06 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

DET: 37.4%

UTA: 62.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.27

UTA: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • DET at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	UTA 4 - 1 DET	UTA	UTA
2025-12-17	DET 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-24	UTA 1 - 5 DET	DET	UTA
2025-03-06	DET 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	24	2	2.31
1	UTA	8	0	0.55
2	DET	18	1	1.33
2	UTA	12	0	1.07
3	DET	17	0	0.76
3	UTA	13	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 3.6