Utah Hockey Club at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-03-06 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 38.9%
UTA: 61.1%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.13
UTA: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | DET | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • DET at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | UTA 4 - 1 DET | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-17 | DET 1 - 4 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-03-24 | UTA 1 - 5 DET | DET | UTA |
| 2025-03-06 | DET 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:08 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 03:17 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 08:49 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 13:01 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 02:55 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:51 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3
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