TBL vs BUF - 2025-03-06
2025-03-06 • Amalie Arena
TBL 6 - 5 BUF
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 68.8%
BUF: 31.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.76
BUF: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:01 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:17 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:53 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:20 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:09 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 00:58 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 09:35 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:40 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 17:43 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:46 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:40 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
TBL 6 - 5 BUF
Expected: 3.8 - 2.9