Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-03-06 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

FLA: 67.8%

CBJ: 32.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.43

CBJ: 1.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	16	16	0	100.0%	1.31	0	1.31
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	36	33	3	91.7%	4.91	6	1.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • FLA at home vs CBJ: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	FLA 2 - 1 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2026-03-05	CBJ 4 - 2 FLA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-06	FLA 7 - 6 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2025-03-20	CBJ 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-06	FLA 3 - 0 CBJ	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	24	4	2.26
1	CBJ	11	0	0.67
2	FLA	18	0	1.05
2	CBJ	4	0	0.17
3	FLA	12	2	1.60
3	CBJ	18	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 1.9