Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-03-06 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 46.9%
WPG: 53.1%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.19
WPG: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | PHI | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | 0.811 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs WPG: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | WPG 1 - 7 PHI | PHI | WPG |
| 2025-10-16 | PHI 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | PHI |
| 2025-03-06 | PHI 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-03-01 | WPG 1 - 2 PHI | PHI | WPG |
| 2024-02-08 | PHI 4 - 1 WPG | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:32 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 15:13 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 05:28 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 09:03 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 17:18 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3
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