San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-03-06 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

COL: 74.2%

SJS: 25.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.58

SJS: 2.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • COL at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	COL 4 - 2 SJS	COL	COL
2025-11-26	COL 6 - 0 SJS	COL	COL
2025-11-01	SJS 3 - 2 COL	SJS	SJS
2025-03-06	COL 7 - 3 SJS	COL	COL
2024-12-19	SJS 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	18	2	1.89
1	SJS	16	2	1.82
2	COL	24	2	2.44
2	SJS	8	1	0.54
3	COL	9	1	0.86
3	SJS	21	2	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.6 - 2.3