Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 64.7%

WPG: 35.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.21

WPG: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	NJD
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.52
1	WPG	15	1	1.02
2	NJD	15	1	1.25
2	WPG	18	1	1.69
3	NJD	13	1	0.87
3	WPG	11	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2