Utah Hockey Club at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-03-07 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 47.0%
UTA: 53.0%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.88
UTA: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | CHI | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.943 | 0.863 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • CHI at home vs UTA: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | UTA 2 - 3 CHI | CHI | UTA |
| 2026-03-09 | CHI 3 - 2 UTA | CHI | UTA |
| 2026-03-01 | UTA 0 - 4 CHI | CHI | UTA |
| 2025-10-13 | CHI 3 - 1 UTA | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-30 | CHI 2 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:56 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:23 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 12:50 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:30 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:04 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 12:16 | CHI | Goal |
| 4 | 03:10 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.