Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-03-07 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

VAN: 50.5%

MIN: 49.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.08

MIN: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	38	37	1	97.4%	3.19	1	2.19
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	20	17	3	85.0%	2.83	3	-0.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs MIN: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	1	0.53
1	MIN	15	0	0.58
2	VAN	18	0	1.17
2	MIN	15	0	0.89
3	VAN	7	2	1.13
3	MIN	24	1	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7