St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-07 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

ANA: 29.4%

STL: 70.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.57

STL: 3.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 45%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	22	18	4	81.8%	2.77	3	-1.23
STL	Jordan Binnington	24	21	3	87.5%	2.68	0	-0.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • ANA at home vs STL: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	0.96
1	STL	13	0	0.63
2	ANA	15	0	0.93
2	STL	10	1	0.68
3	ANA	15	0	0.79
3	STL	10	2	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.6 - 3.7