New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-03-08 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 59.3%
NYR: 40.7%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.24
NYR: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | OTT | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.926 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • OTT at home vs NYR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | NYR 4 - 8 OTT | OTT | NYR |
| 2025-12-04 | OTT 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | OTT |
| 2025-03-08 | OTT 4 - 3 NYR | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-01-21 | NYR 5 - 0 OTT | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-11-01 | NYR 2 - 1 OTT | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:37 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 03:55 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:06 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:08 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:16 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:08 | OTT | Goal |
| 4 | 00:33 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0