Montreal Canadiens at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-03-08 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 1 - 0 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 57.8%
MTL: 42.2%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.33
MTL: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | CGY | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 0.973 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs MTL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | MTL 4 - 1 CGY | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-22 | CGY 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | CGY |
| 2025-03-08 | CGY 1 - 0 MTL | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-11-05 | MTL 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | MTL |
| 2024-03-16 | CGY 5 - 2 MTL | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16:21 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 1 - 0 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5