St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

LAK: 65.2%

STL: 34.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.31

STL: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	20	19	1	95.0%	1.67	0	0.67
STL	Joel Hofer	23	21	2	91.3%	2.92	2	0.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • LAK at home vs STL: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	7	0	0.37
1	STL	10	0	0.34
2	LAK	13	0	0.84
2	STL	12	0	0.87
3	LAK	20	2	1.60
3	STL	14	0	0.46
4	LAK	1	0	0.11
4	STL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8