Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-03-08 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 53.4%
DAL: 46.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.52
DAL: 3.76
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | EDM | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.913 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs DAL: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 | EDM 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | EDM |
| 2025-11-04 | DAL 4 - 3 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-29 | DAL 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | DAL |
| 2025-05-27 | EDM 4 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-05-25 | EDM 6 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:48 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 12:26 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 17:42 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:20 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 17:40 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:06 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:17 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 09:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 7.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.5 - 3.8