Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-03-08 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 61.6%
DAL: 38.4%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.28
DAL: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | EDM | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.820 | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs DAL: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | DAL 7 - 2 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-11-25 | EDM 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | EDM |
| 2025-11-04 | DAL 4 - 3 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-29 | DAL 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-05-27 | EDM 4 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:48 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 12:26 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 17:42 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:20 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 17:40 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:06 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:17 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 09:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6
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