New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

SJS: 43.6%

NYI: 56.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.80

NYI: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs NYI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SJS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-21	NYI 4 - 3 SJS	NYI	NYI
2025-03-08	SJS 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-18	NYI 4 - 1 SJS	NYI	NYI
2024-03-07	SJS 2 - 7 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	30	1	1.72
1	NYI	16	1	1.22
2	SJS	16	0	0.71
2	NYI	22	0	1.08
3	SJS	13	0	0.96
3	NYI	9	1	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3