New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

SJS: 38.1%

NYI: 61.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.82

NYI: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	28	24	4	85.7%	3.52	2	-0.48
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	40	38	2	95.0%	3.39	1	1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs NYI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SJS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-21	NYI 4 - 3 SJS	NYI	NYI
2025-03-08	SJS 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-18	NYI 4 - 1 SJS	NYI	NYI
2024-03-07	SJS 2 - 7 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	30	1	1.72
1	NYI	16	1	1.22
2	SJS	16	0	0.71
2	NYI	22	0	1.08
3	SJS	13	0	0.96
3	NYI	9	1	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4