Seattle Kraken at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-03-09 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

WSH: 74.3%

SEA: 25.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.77

SEA: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	SEA 5 - 1 WSH	SEA	WSH
2025-10-21	WSH 4 - 1 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-03-09	WSH 4 - 2 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-01-23	SEA 0 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-14	SEA 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	13	1	0.87
1	SEA	24	2	1.50
2	WSH	10	0	0.45
2	SEA	16	0	1.20
3	WSH	16	1	1.06
3	SEA	15	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7