Pittsburgh Penguins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-09 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 43.6%
PIT: 56.4%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.76
PIT: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | MIN | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.942 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs PIT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | PIT 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | PIT |
| 2025-10-30 | MIN 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | MIN |
| 2025-03-09 | MIN 1 - 3 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-29 | PIT 3 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-02-09 | MIN 3 - 2 PIT | MIN | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 15:22 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 09:21 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:54 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:47 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2
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