Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-09 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 60.9%
WPG: 39.1%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.31
WPG: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | CAR | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | CAR 5 - 1 WPG | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-21 | WPG 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-09 | CAR 4 - 2 WPG | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-04 | WPG 3 - 0 CAR | WPG | CAR |
| 2024-03-02 | CAR 3 - 5 WPG | WPG | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:21 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:34 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:14 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:58 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:08 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0
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