Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-03-09 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 7 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 51.7%
CBJ: 48.3%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.43
CBJ: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NYR at home vs CBJ: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | CBJ 6 - 3 NYR | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2026-03-02 | NYR 4 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-11-15 | CBJ 1 - 2 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-15 | CBJ 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-09 | NYR 3 - 7 CBJ | CBJ | NYR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYR | 13 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 1 | CBJ | 9 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | NYR | 15 | 1 | 0.92 |
| 2 | CBJ | 19 | 0 | 1.25 |
| 3 | NYR | 25 | 1 | 1.84 |
| 3 | CBJ | 13 | 1 | 0.81 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 7 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.4 - 3.3
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