New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-03-09 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 62.6%
NYI: 37.4%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.21
NYI: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | ANA | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs NYI: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | NYI 5 - 2 ANA | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-09 | ANA 4 - 1 NYI | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-29 | NYI 1 - 3 ANA | ANA | NYI |
| 2024-03-10 | ANA 1 - 6 NYI | NYI | ANA |
| 2023-12-13 | NYI 4 - 3 ANA | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:52 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:56 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:10 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:18 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 00:43 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8