New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-09 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

ANA: 52.4%

NYI: 47.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.99

NYI: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	19	0	1.29
1	NYI	8	0	0.25
2	ANA	19	0	1.31
2	NYI	15	0	0.66
3	ANA	11	3	1.58
3	NYI	27	0	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3