Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-03-10 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

COL: 84.6%

CHI: 15.4%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.96

CHI: 1.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Scott Wedgewood	20	20	0	100.0%	1.53	0	1.53
CHI	Spencer Knight	21	18	3	85.7%	3.68	2	0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • COL at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	14	0	1.03
1	CHI	6	0	0.42
2	COL	11	0	0.87
2	CHI	13	0	0.70
3	COL	12	2	1.79
3	CHI	14	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 84.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 5.0 - 1.6