Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-03-10 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 59.5%

TOR: 40.5%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.19

TOR: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 35%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs TOR: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	UTA 6 - 1 TOR	UTA	UTA
2025-11-05	TOR 5 - 3 UTA	TOR	TOR
2025-03-10	UTA 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	UTA
2024-11-24	TOR 3 - 2 UTA	TOR	TOR

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9