Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-03-11 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 55.7%
FLA: 44.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.18
FLA: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | BOS | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.826 | 0.883 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BOS |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
| 2024-10-14 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:27 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:49 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:56 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 13:51 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:43 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1