PIT vs VGK - 2025-03-11
2025-03-11 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 3 - 2 VGK
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 48.9%
VGK: 51.1%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.24
VGK: 3.34
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 13-4-5 | 0.895 SV% | 2.49 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 03:02 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 14:29 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:53 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 00:49 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
PIT 3 - 2 VGK
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3