New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-03-11 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 54.4%
NYR: 45.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.30
NYR: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | WPG | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.688 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs NYR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | NYR 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2026-03-12 | WPG 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | WPG |
| 2025-03-11 | WPG 2 - 1 NYR | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-12 | NYR 3 - 6 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-19 | NYR 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:18 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 11:00 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 05:06 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.