New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-03-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 New York Rangers

Win Probability

WPG: 57.1%

NYR: 42.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.88

NYR: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WPG at home vs NYR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYR 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	NYR
2026-03-12	WPG 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-11	WPG 2 - 1 NYR	WPG	WPG
2024-11-12	NYR 3 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-19	NYR 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	0	0.75
1	NYR	16	1	1.03
2	WPG	11	1	1.49
2	NYR	14	0	0.56
3	WPG	12	0	0.73
3	NYR	17	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1