Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-03-11 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 59.8%
NSH: 40.2%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.20
NSH: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs NSH: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-11 | SJS 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | SJS |
| 2025-01-23 | SJS 5 - 6 NSH | NSH | SJS |
| 2025-01-21 | NSH 7 - 5 SJS | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-03-19 | NSH 8 - 2 SJS | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-02-24 | SJS 2 - 4 NSH | NSH | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:11 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 15:17 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:42 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:56 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 06:32 | NSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2