Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-11 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 53.5%

NSH: 46.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.92

NSH: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	19	16	3	84.2%	2.80	2	-0.20
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	25	2	92.6%	2.49	2	0.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs NSH: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	NSH 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	NSH
2026-04-04	SJS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	SJS
2026-03-24	NSH 6 - 3 SJS	NSH	NSH
2025-03-11	SJS 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	SJS
2025-01-23	SJS 5 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	10	0	0.53
1	NSH	10	0	0.73
2	SJS	19	2	1.42
2	NSH	13	0	1.19
3	SJS	11	0	0.54
3	NSH	5	2	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.6