Anaheim Ducks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-03-12 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

UTA: 85.9%

ANA: 14.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 4.13

ANA: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	21	19	2	90.5%	2.02	2	0.02
ANA	Ville Husso	39	36	3	92.3%	4.61	1	1.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs ANA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	UTA 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-12-03	ANA 0 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-17	ANA 3 - 2 UTA	ANA	UTA
2025-03-12	UTA 3 - 2 ANA	UTA	UTA
2024-12-22	UTA 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	22	0	1.33
1	ANA	14	0	0.59
2	UTA	26	0	1.44
2	ANA	12	1	0.88
3	UTA	15	1	1.84
3	ANA	14	1	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 85.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.1 - 2.6