Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-03-13 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 6 - 3 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

OTT: 58.6%

BOS: 41.4%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.20

BOS: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • OTT at home vs BOS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	21	0	1.05
1	BOS	4	1	0.26
2	OTT	14	1	0.79
2	BOS	17	2	1.61
3	OTT	11	4	2.39
3	BOS	14	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 6 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1