Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-13 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 43.8%

EDM: 56.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.05

EDM: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	EDM
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	EDM
2023-12-21	NJD 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	12	0	0.90
1	EDM	12	1	1.06
2	NJD	17	2	1.08
2	EDM	11	1	0.98
3	NJD	10	0	0.36
3	EDM	26	1	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1