Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-03-13 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 51.6%
EDM: 48.4%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.21
EDM: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | NJD | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.882 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs EDM: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | EDM 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | EDM |
| 2025-10-18 | NJD 5 - 3 EDM | NJD | EDM |
| 2025-03-13 | NJD 3 - 2 EDM | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-11-04 | EDM 0 - 3 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2023-12-21 | NJD 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 03:58 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 10:05 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 04:18 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 06:50 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 08:25 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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