St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-03-13 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 40.4%

STL: 59.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.16

STL: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 8.1

Over 5.5: 78%

Over 6.5: 68%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs STL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	STL 7 - 5 PIT	STL	PIT
2025-10-27	PIT 6 - 3 STL	PIT	PIT
2025-04-03	STL 5 - 4 PIT	STL	PIT
2025-03-13	PIT 5 - 3 STL	PIT	STL
2023-12-30	PIT 4 - 2 STL	PIT	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:17	PIT	Goal
2	02:20	PIT	Goal
2	11:35	PIT	Goal
2	17:42	PIT	Goal
3	01:26	PIT	Goal
3	07:15	PIT	Goal
3	08:56	PIT	Goal
3	19:52	PIT	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.6