Vegas Golden Knights at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-03-13 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 57.0%
VGK: 43.0%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.58
VGK: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.846 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs VGK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | VGK 5 - 3 CBJ | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-13 | CBJ 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | CBJ |
| 2025-03-13 | CBJ 0 - 4 VGK | VGK | CBJ |
| 2025-01-30 | VGK 1 - 2 CBJ | CBJ | VGK |
| 2024-03-23 | VGK 4 - 2 CBJ | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:01 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 12:00 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 12:17 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:38 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.6 - 2.9