New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-13 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

MIN: 44.0%

NYR: 56.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.80

NYR: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	31	28	3	90.3%	3.53	3	0.53
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	28	26	2	92.9%	2.50	1	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs NYR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MIN 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	MIN
2025-10-20	NYR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	NYR
2025-04-02	NYR 5 - 4 MIN	NYR	NYR
2025-03-13	MIN 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	NYR
2023-11-09	NYR 4 - 1 MIN	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	1	1.06
1	NYR	14	1	0.94
2	MIN	10	0	0.54
2	NYR	25	2	1.90
3	MIN	13	0	0.81
3	NYR	12	0	0.54
4	MIN	1	0	0.09
4	NYR	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0