Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-13 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

SJS: 67.9%

CHI: 32.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.39

CHI: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	26	24	2	92.3%	2.68	4	0.68
CHI	Spencer Knight	25	21	4	84.0%	2.95	3	-1.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SJS at home vs CHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	CHI
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	17	0	0.64
1	CHI	6	1	0.67
2	SJS	12	2	1.19
2	CHI	13	2	1.01
3	SJS	10	1	1.11
3	CHI	16	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7