Utah Hockey Club at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-03-14 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 44.1%

UTA: 55.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.25

UTA: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	23	2	92.0%	2.84	1	0.84
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	23	19	4	82.6%	3.73	2	-0.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	SEA 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-17	UTA 6 - 3 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-12-12	UTA 5 - 3 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-08	UTA 7 - 1 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-14	SEA 4 - 2 UTA	SEA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	0	0.83
1	UTA	11	1	0.84
2	SEA	14	0	0.78
2	UTA	17	0	1.19
3	SEA	11	2	2.12
3	UTA	18	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2