Utah Hockey Club at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-03-14 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 46.6%
UTA: 53.4%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.24
UTA: 3.37
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | SEA 2 - 6 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2026-01-17 | UTA 6 - 3 SEA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-12 | UTA 5 - 3 SEA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-04-08 | UTA 7 - 1 SEA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-03-14 | SEA 4 - 2 UTA | SEA | UTA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 14 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 1 | UTA | 11 | 1 | 0.84 |
| 2 | SEA | 14 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 2 | UTA | 17 | 0 | 1.19 |
| 3 | SEA | 11 | 2 | 2.12 |
| 3 | UTA | 18 | 0 | 0.80 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.2 - 3.4
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