New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-03-15 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PIT: 52.4%

NJD: 47.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.03

NJD: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PIT at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	2	1.05
1	NJD	14	0	0.81
2	PIT	15	1	1.39
2	NJD	11	0	0.86
3	PIT	12	1	1.40
3	NJD	20	0	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1